17/12/2022 Horse Racing Suggestions and Finest Bets – Flemington, Kensington Stakes day

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A robust 9 occasion assembly has been set down for Flemington on Saturday. The climate is okay, the observe is smooth (5) and the rail is within the true place for the complete circuit.

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Kensington Stakes 🏆: View the Subject and Odds for the Kensington Stakes

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Again Me

12 River Noire (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) seems to be a really promising filly for Peter Moody who ought to take beating right here. Jumped out like a bomb previous to debuting at Moe the place she landed on velocity comfortably and was completely trucking within the run below Stackhouse. Only a matter of pushing the button and as soon as she did, she gapped them. Ought to land on velocity comfortably, sprint when J Kah asks and be too good.

Hazard

3 River Ribble (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) seems to be to be in for a very good prep. Workforce Freedman skilled three 12 months previous that resumed at Pakenham two weeks in the past the place he acquired again within the run however Shinn sliced his means by means of the sector and completed off strongly late behind Purple Card, who was spectacular from the entrance. Like him as much as 1200m and I reckon with a sit, a drag into the race, he’ll take beating towards this lot.

Lengthy Shot

5 The Guava (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) is but to show himself at 1200m however the return suggests he can be nice at it. Undesirable in betting when resuming at Pakenham however I assumed he closed off very well late within the piece with out threatening behind Purple Card. Steady are beginning to discover type and supplied he’s not too far behind and is inside vary 400m out, he definitely has the finale to take this out.

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Again Me

3 Throntari (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) is succesful together with her finest. Did greater than sufficient contemporary at Ballarat when fourth to Direct. She then went to Pakenham and simply raced a contact on the flat aspect behind Blistering. Reckon a very run 1100m can be proper up her alley and supplied she’s not too far-off from them, she has the finale to launch and beat this lot.

Hazard

7 Cotel (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) is 2/2 to begin her profession and instructions respect. Resumed below the lights at Cranbourne the place she was tardy to start however was capable of finding the field seat and as soon as that occurred, it was race over and he or she was too good for a average bunch. 1100m is a question together with her, however with Carleen aboard, suspect the ways can be soar/run and attempt to run them off their legs.

Lengthy Shot

2 No Approach Ever (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) is a Maher/Eustace skilled mare that resumes. This lady hasn’t raced since July 9 at Caulfield when close to the velocity and doing work, combating on strongly when shut up in defeat behind Ojosan. Couple of strong jumpouts to prepare for the return and with the declare for Cartwright, she will get in fairly properly, so watch the market and see if it tells you if she’s prepared.

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Again Me

6 Beltoro (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) is bursting to win one this prep and I believe he will get an amazing probability right here. He was huge in defeat two weeks in the past at Pakenham. Noticed these in entrance an enormous begin and was by no means a profitable issue however actually like the way in which he completed his race off behind Arran Bay. Tends to run properly at Flemington and if he’s inside vary on the flip, he’s ok to run them down.

Hazard

4 Arran Bay (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) is without doubt one of the hardest to beat. He was a bit on the plain aspect when resuming at Cranbourne behind Pal D’Oro earlier than bouncing again to his finest at Pakenham with a dominant win from close to the velocity. Superb third up file, observe/distance winner and can be robust late whereas a few of these can be suspect late. Main contender.

Lengthy Shot

3 Unanimous (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) is knocking on the door to win for the Maher/Eustace camp. Shut up behind French Emperor on Champions Day at Flemington earlier than going to Ballarat the place he got here with a properly timed run and seemed the winner however was nabbed late by Our Redente. Again on prime of the bottom, he’s a key menace.

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Again Me

Very fascinating placement from John O’Shea relating to 14 Superior John (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) however he does look a possible Derby horse for the Autumn/Winter. He seemed an ethical final trip over this journey at Hawkesbury and regardless of getting badly held up early on within the straight, he acquired clear air and drove arduous, drawing clear late to win properly. He’ll love attending to Flemington, will get J Kah, maps ideally and appears to have discovered a skinny race.

Hazard

9 Desperado (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) is the one menace to Superior John. Maher/Eustace skilled former Kiwi that made his Australian debut on Jericho Cup Day at Warrnambool and gee he was spectacular from the again to win and win with one thing in hand. The gate makes issues tough as a result of he must give Superior John a begin, however you do need to respect the secure with these flippantly raced improvers.

Lengthy Shot

3 Confrontational (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) has discovered profitable type and may fill a primary 4 spot. That final begin win got here at The Valley the place he sat again off the great velocity, acquired clear air on the proper stage and got here with a properly timed run to win impressively, albeit there have been a number of unfortunate runners in behind. Will get an enormous jockey improve with Ben Melham taking the trip and needs to be robust on the finish.

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Again Me

6 Munhamek (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) has been up endlessly it looks as if however he’s holding his type very well. Recreation second to Detonator Jack on Cup Day at Flemington earlier than going to Ballarat the place Olly gave him a peach steer and was there to win however couldn’t fairly end it off when a slender third to Inexperienced Fly. Again on firmer footing, he’ll take beating.

Hazard

1 Zac De Boss (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) is a straight observe specialist who can bounce again. He resumed three weeks again within the Doveton the place he was again within the run and chasing from the outset. By no means a profitable menace, however didn’t thoughts the way in which he discovered the road late within the piece behind Jigsaw. The very fact he loves the straight course retains him within the combine and he does have extra upside than most engaged.

Lengthy Shot

5 William Thomas (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) seems to be again on observe. Jury was out after a plain return within the Apache Cat at Cranbourne however he ran a a lot improved race at Pakenham two weeks again when close to final within the run and was superb late within the piece when third to Umgawa. He’s a tough horse to catch however he does have a powerful finale on him when proper. The final run signifies he would possibly properly be across the mark.

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Again Me

6 True Marvel (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) on prime for me. He ran a number of weeks in the past within the Sandown Cup over 3200m and I assumed the trip from McDougall was very quiet, solely getting heat late within the piece behind Gin Martini. If this turns into who would be the finest stayer late, he wins. Simply don’t need it to be a sit/dash and the race form seems to be like it is going to be a very run 2600m. Love the reserving of J Kah, he’s the one to beat.

Hazard

3 Nobel Heights (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) has upside and is discovering optimistic type. Led and was run down late two again at Cranbourne by Kissinger earlier than bumping into that horse once more within the Pakenham Cup and he tried arduous however in a staying contest, he was merely no match for the Lindsey Smith stayer. He has petrol left within the tank I really feel and I do reckon with a affected person steer, a bunny to chase, he can get into the winners listing.

Lengthy Shot

Nick Ryan had Vegas Knight entered, who would have been arduous to beat right here, however as an alternative he goes with 7 Winifer (Wager Now: 
$SP.00), a mare who brings so so type on paper, however her two runs again from a spell have been fairly good, the newest at Benalla when again and launching late. In the event that they discovered a 2400m midweek, she could be an absolute ethical. A win wouldn’t shock right here, however can simply fill a primary 4 spot.

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Again Me

6 Rose Quartz (Wager Now: $3.90) will do me right here. Fairly plain right here on Derby Day behind Asfoora earlier than going to the Doveton at Caulfield and he or she surged arduous late from the again, simply lacking out on selecting up the very a lot in type Jigsaw. Loves racing down the straight and with a quick run 1000m, I can see her sitting off that tempo and end excessive of those. Completely happy to be in her nook.

Hazard

1 Halvorsen (Wager Now: $9.00) is a straight observe specialist and can be robust late. He resumed on Oaks Day within the Century and was superb from close to final when fourth to a different straight observe gun, Joyful Fortune. No horse of that high quality right here, he races finest on the contemporary aspect, he can be robust late and A Mallyon does get on with the horse very properly. Onerous to beat.

Lengthy Shot

4 Yulong Command (Wager Now: $8.50) will soar on the bunny and provides a sight. He ran within the Doveton three weeks again at Caulfield the place he led at a fairly strong clip and tried arduous however couldn’t fairly maintain it and felt the pinch late when fifth to the very a lot in type Jigsaw. Final bit will take a look at, but when he doesn’t cop entrance finish stress, he’s ok to run a daring race at a worth.

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Again Me

14 Morrissy (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) is sneaky flying for Simon Ryan and is in with an opportunity at a worth. He ran final Saturday at Sandown and didn’t do a nasty job in defeat from off the velocity behind the in type Savannah Cloud. He has raced as soon as on the seven day again up and ran a slashing third on 2020 Magic Hundreds of thousands Day. Reckon with a extra optimistic steer, with upside, a win wouldn’t completely shock with him, so I’ll speck at a worth.

Hazard

8 Nicolini Vito (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) must be revered as a profitable probability. He reduce to the within within the Gold Bullion at Pakenham and he stored chasing in a very good effort when second to Pal D’Oro. The tip of 1400m is a tad suspect with him however he needs to be nice with a affected person steer and has a very good file at Flemington. He’s one of many main contenders for positive in what’s an open race.

Lengthy Shot

2 Morvada (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) seems to be arduous to beat towards these. He was undesirable in betting a number of weeks again within the Metropolis Of Marion when close to the velocity and he fought on very well, solely overwhelmed by a few swoopers in Diamonds and Manhattan Instances. That was his first run in a number of weeks, so there needs to be good room for enchancment, he loves the 1400m and will get J Kah.

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Again Me

12 Victory Bay (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) will get a correct rider on now for the reason that first up win and that is sufficient to have me in his nook for the get out. He ran over this journey on Traralgon Cup Day the place a 4kg apprentice was aboard and no disrespect to her, however this horse seems to be like one which wants a senior rider aboard and that value him the win final time. Ought to lob into a beautiful spot and be robust on the finish.

Hazard

17 Micro (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) has good type round him to present this a shake. He resumed on the Kenso observe and to the attention, it was only a run when second to Gundy Bridge, however that horse sizzled on velocity and given the observe sample, the run of Micro was superb. Fitter and as much as 1400m, he has extra upside than most and this secure is flying, so he instructions respect for positive.

Lengthy Shot

9 Naboo Star (Wager Now: 
$SP.00) is getting on in years however he seems to be to have jumped out properly sufficient to command respect right here contemporary for Workforce Hayes. His final run got here on Caulfield Cup Day when third to Saint Bathans, with second being Cap De Joie. That type is A1 for what’s a average Benchmark 70 and his current jumpout right here was fairly good. Assume he’s price together with in a winnable race.

BEST BET: Race One Quantity 12 River Noire

NEXT BEST: Race Six Quantity 6 True Marvel

LONG SHOT: Race Eight Quantity 14 Morrissy

 

Quaddie Suggestions (Races Six By To 9):

Leg One: 6

Leg Two: 1, 2, 4, 6

Leg Three: 1, 2, 8, 9, 14

Leg 4: 9, 12, 13, 17

$50 Funding = 62.50% of the dividend if profitable

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